Model Predicts Risk for Women with Hodgkin Lymphoma -- MEDICA - World Forum for Medicine

To estimate the future cumulative absolute risk of breast cancer for young women treated for Hodgkin lymphoma, Lois B. Travis, M.D., of the National Cancer Institute, and colleagues analysed data from a case–control study within an international population-based cohort of 3,817 female 1-year survivors of Hodgkin lymphoma who had been diagnosed at age 30 or younger between 1965 and 1994.

The cumulative absolute risk of developing breast cancer increased with age at end of follow-up, time since diagnosis, and radiation dose. For example, a woman who was treated for Hodgkin lymphoma at age 20 with a chest radiation dose of at least 40 Gy without alkylating agents would have a 0.4% risk of developing breast cancer by age 30, a 4.9% risk by age 40, and a 19.1% risk by age 50. By comparison, for white women in the general population, the absolute risks of breast cancer from age 20 to ages 30, 40, and 50 are, respectively, 0.04%, 0.5%, and 2.0%.

"However, it should always be noted that the gains in long-term survival provided by successful radiotherapy and chemotherapy outweigh the associated risks of breast cancer and other late sequelae. Moreover, current modifications in treatment will likely result in lower risks of breast cancer in the future," the authors write.

In an editorial, Dan L. Longo, M.D., of the National Institute on Aging, questions the continued routine use of radiation therapy for the treatment of Hodgkin disease when alternative approaches, such as combination chemotherapy alone, have similar success in curing the disease without the magnitude of late fatal complications. "We need to stop exposing women to the risk of subsequent breast cancer by needlessly using radiation therapy as a component of their Hodgkin disease treatment," he writes.; Source: Journal of the National Cancer Institute